Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 8.669489e-05 0.000103 0.000121 0.000142 0.000164 0.000188 0.000215
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 6.296625e-05 0.000084 0.000108 0.000137 0.000170 0.000208 0.000251
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.186262e-05 0.000075 0.000103 0.000137 0.000178 0.000225 0.000282
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.082231e-05 0.000065 0.000095 0.000134 0.000182 0.000238 0.000307
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.557039e-05 0.000061 0.000093 0.000137 0.000192 0.000257 0.000338
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.971559e-05 0.000055 0.000089 0.000137 0.000198 0.000272 0.000365
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.372629e-05 0.000048 0.000083 0.000132 0.000197 0.000277 0.000380
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.969156e-05 0.000044 0.000079 0.000132 0.000202 0.000289 0.000403
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.635112e-05 0.000040 0.000076 0.000130 0.000205 0.000299 0.000423
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.422057e-05 0.000038 0.000075 0.000133 0.000213 0.000315 0.000451
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.162819e-05 0.000034 0.000072 0.000131 0.000215 0.000324 0.000469
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.992368e-06 0.000030 0.000067 0.000127 0.000214 0.000328 0.000482
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.880471e-06 0.000029 0.000067 0.000131 0.000225 0.000349 0.000518
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.518940e-06 0.000024 0.000062 0.000126 0.000223 0.000353 0.000532
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.388805e-06 0.000022 0.000060 0.000127 0.000229 0.000367 0.000559
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.023198e-06 0.000019 0.000056 0.000123 0.000228 0.000372 0.000575
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.511390e-06 0.000018 0.000056 0.000127 0.000237 0.000391 0.000608
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.831899e-06 0.000017 0.000054 0.000126 0.000242 0.000403 0.000632
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.112107e-06 0.000014 0.000050 0.000122 0.000240 0.000406 0.000644
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.202538e-07 0.000013 0.000048 0.000121 0.000243 0.000416 0.000666
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.369042e-07 0.000011 0.000046 0.000120 0.000245 0.000426 0.000687
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.971693e-07 0.000011 0.000046 0.000122 0.000252 0.000441 0.000717
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.433571e-07 0.000009 0.000044 0.000121 0.000254 0.000449 0.000735